CONFIDENTIAL

1451

MDLIAN 072

UNKNOWN.

PERFORMANCE IN THE ELECTION

THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE PERFORMANCE OF THE MAJOR POLITICAL

3.

GROUPS:

GROUP

CANDIDATES

ELECTED

SUCCESS RATE

UDHK

80

57

70 PER CENT

ADPL

19

14

74 PER CENT

85

MP

13

11

85 PER CENT

HKDF

7

3

43 PER CENT

LOF

89

62

(only 35 "Specified

50

56 PER CENT

FTU

16

12

75 PER CENT

(ADPL STANDS FOR THE ASSOCIATION FOR DEMOCRACY AND PEOPLE'S LIVELIHOOD, MP FOR MEETING POINT, AND HKDF FOR THE HONG KONG DEMOCRATIC FOUNDATION.)

4 =

THE FIGURES IN THE TABLE MUST BE USED WITH CAUTION BECAUSE THE CANDIDATES SUPPORTED BY A GROUP SOMETIMES INCLUDE QUOTE FRIENDLY UNQUOTE CANDIDATES WHO ACTUALLY RAN UNDER THE BANNER OF ANOTHER GROUP. IT IS ALSO DIFFICULT TO VERIFY INDEPENDENTLY THE FIGURES MAINLY BECAUSE THE IDENTITY OF THE CANDIDATES OF THE LDF

AND PRO-CHINA GROUPS WAS OFTEN UNKNOWN.

5. NOT SURPRISINGLY, EVERY GROUP CLAIMED SUCCESS IN THIS ELECTION. UDHK DID WELL IN THE DISTRICTS OF KWAI TSING, TUEN MUN, EASTERN, TSUEN WAN AND SHAM SHUI PO AND GAINED VALUABLE FOOTHOLDS IN THE TRADITIONALLY CONSERVATIVE DISTRICTS OF WAN CHAI AND SOUTHERN. THEY WERE LESS SUCCESSFUL, HOWEVER, IN SHA TIN AND CENTRAL/WESTERN, WHERE ONLY ABOUT HALF OF THEIR CANDIDATES WON. THEIR ATTEMPT TO ESTABLISH THEMSELVES IN TAI PO ALSO FAILED WHEN

BOTH OF THEIR CANDIDATES WERE DEFEATED.

6.

ADPL WON ALL NINE OF THE SEATS THEY CONTESTED IN THEIR HOME BASE OF SHAM SHUI PO. ITS PERFORMANCE OUTSIDE THE DISTRICT WAS

FAR LESS SPECTACULAR. IT DID NEVERTHELESS GAIN ONE SEAT IN SAI

2

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CONFIDENTIAL

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