(d)
There is a considerable time lag between tha
various stages in the
the process
an average of
3
6 months between CNCC application and visa
issue and A further 3-6 months average between (A 3 months
for
viga issue and physical departure average is applied for U.S.A. while 6 months is assumed
other countries) Understanding this time lag is very important as it explains
the apparent discrepancy among the different sources of information
The tendency in the past has been for the media to quote the total number of applications as being synonymous with
the number of emigrants for that year.
of
CNCC applications
24.
Following ате statistics made to the police over the past decade:
1980
16,273
1981 1982 1983
17.521 20.683 20,477
1984
23.002
1985 1986 1987 1988
23.063 38.200 53.471 40 448
1989
57 339
1990 (Jan-June)
34 657
It indicates that there was
beginnine in 1986.
a
sur ge
in emigration
25.
Broken down on a half-vearly basis. the figures from 1986 to 1989 suggest the peak was reached in late 1987 and started to level off. However, figures
figures from late
1989 onwards indicated a sign of upward wovement
Hטר 70
1st half-year
2nd half-year
1986
1987
18 948
22.417
19 252
31.054
1988
20.560
19.888
1989
19.688
37.651
1990
34,651
MP-).
Q6.
HK
ааа