10
1980: 20.400
1985.
20 800
1981:
19,400
1986:
21,800
1982:
19,600
1987:
38,900
1983:
21,400
1988: 44,500
1984: 23,300
1989: 47,200
Clearly 1987 has seen a considerable increase over the But broken down on a half-yearly
the Deak was
icena figurse Once again,
norm for the 1980s. basis, the following figures suggest that first reached in early 1988 and that viza were settling down at a somewhat lower level. the lower figures were a result of a drop in the Canadian related cases; both U.S.A. and Australian visa issue figures were higher in 1988 though they begin to level of£.
2nd half of 1987: 21.500
30.
1st half of 1988:
24,000
20.500
20,200
26,000
2nd half of 1988:
let half of 1980.
2nd half of 1080.
1st half of 1990:
32,000 (provisional figure)
The increased number of immigrant visas issued in late 89 and early 90 was A result of sraff deployment by the Canadian Commission in clearing application hacking rather than a shift in immigration policy to the advantage of HK people. The year-end visa issue figure is likely to restore to similar level of 1988 and 1989, the implication being the rate in the second round will be much lower.
31.
Non-coverage of some minor countries is expected to be compensated by a slight over-counting by assuming a 100% visa take-un rate.
Relationship between CNCC and Visa Figures
32.
There is a significant relationship between CNCC
application and visa issue after
adjusting for
An observed
time lag (average 3-6 months).
Thus, by observing the