α
(d)
time lag between tha
There is а considerable various stages in the process
-
an average of
3 - 6 months between CNCC application and visa
issue and а further 3-5 months average between visa issue and physical departure (A 3 months average is applied for U.S.A. while 6 months is assumed for other countries) Understanding this time lag is very important as it explains
the apparent discrepancy among the different sources of information
The tendency in the past has been for the media to quote the total number of applications as being synonymous with the number of emigrants for that year.
24.
Following ате statistics of CNCC applications
made to the police over the past decade:
1980
16.273
1981 1982
17,521 20.683
1983 20,477
1984
23.002
1988
1985 1986 1987
1989
23.063 38.200 53.471 40 448 57 339
1990 (Jan-June)
34 657
It indicates that there was
beginning in 1986.
surge in emigration
25.
Broken down on a half-vearly basis. the figures from 1986 to 1989 suggest the peak was reached in late
1987 and started to level off. However, figures from late 1989 onwards indicated a sign of upward movement
1st half-year
2nd half-year
1985
1987
18 948
22.417
19 252
31.054
1988
20.560
19.888
1989
19.688
37.651
1990
34,651