It is of course possible that every one of the 50,000 families

who benefit from our scheme will decide to come and live in Britain.

We think this unlikely because of these families' culture, personal

and professional ties with Hong Kong. But if they did all come here, the "penalty" for this country would be to take in up to

225,000 of the most enterprising and talented people from one of the

most successful economies seen this century.

Nor would they all be likely to arrive at once. A substantial proportion of passports will be held back until the last years of

British rule in order to give the authorities in Hong Kong some

flexibility, for example in respect of people newly promoted to important posts, without exceeding the limit of 50,000 families

which we shall ask Parliament to endorse.

But it

Maintaining the prosperity and good government of Hong Kong is

our duty perhaps our last major imperial responsibility. is also very much in this country's interests. Jobs in this country

and the profitability of British firms depend upon Hong Kong continuing to thrive. It is our largest market in Asia after Japan,

and about 1,000 British companies operate there. It is not just the

important Hong Kong companies, but major British enterprises like

GEC, Courtaulds and Cable & Wireless who have urged on us the need

to provide the assurance of citizenship and a passport to key

employees.

If we had offered no assurances on nationality, we would

certainly have damaged this country's economic interests and we

should also have made more likely a major challenge to our policy of restricting immigration. If confidence within Hong Kong were to collapse completely, then we could expect a flood of people to

arrive at our airports seeking admission as refugees. The numbers

involved might make the 50,000 families included in the Government's

scheme seem a very small number indeed.

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