1990-11-02 05:53

COMMS OFFICE (GOVT HOUSE)

852 845 0995 P.12

11

11

first

This

is,

of course,

instance and to travel on into Hong Kong by road.

assuming that an efficient road link

can be introduced in time to provide for this. In the most

optimistic scenario of all mainland air carriers opting to

do this, we

think Kai Tak would be relieved of 10% of its

and 17% of its aircraft movements. This would

passengers

help us by delaying capacity at Kai Tak by twelve to

eighteen months i.e.

forecasts.

Another

until 1995, or the basis of current

optimistic scenario, which might also

passenger traffic.

provide Kai Tak with some relief, would be the commencement

of direct flights between China and Taiwan. This would

relieve Kai Tak of possibly another 5% of its total

Taken together with the potential

relief provided by Shenzhen, the timing for Kai Tak to

reach capacity could be delayed through

to the end of

In other words, even taking into account these most

optimistic of assumptions, there can be no doubt that we

should be making every effort, as we are doing, to work

towards the opening of Chek Lap Kok as early as possible.

1997 represents the earliest feasible target date.

1995.

13.

In the longer term, we see the roles of Chek Lap

Kok, Macau and Shenzhen airports as largely complementary.

All three are needed to service adequately the dynamic area

of the Pearl River Delta and Southern China generally.

Each has its own particular function. It is not a unique

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