CONFIDENTIAL

A

EXTRACT

FROM SING HOWE'S MINUTE OF

7 MARCH 19

IF SO

SHOULD HMG GO BEYOND THE CARR-ROBERTSON ASSURANCE AND SEEK TO TAKE OVER THE PENSION ENTITLEMENTS OF HONG KONG HMOCS OFFICERS?

ON WHAT TERMS?

14. If Ministers accept that HMG would have to take responsibility for the pensions of HMOCS in Hong Kong in the

at

or

on

of a default the

question arises whether we should initiate a formal take-over of the

pensions

before 1997.

be This would

lines which have

become standard elsewhere, but with the important difference

Hong Kong, which i s not aid-worthy, would me et the cost. question arises irrespective of whether

to

that

(The

or

not

i t

proves necessary

main argument for

The reaffirm the Carr-Robertson Assurance).

is financial

money at

taking

responsibility over

The

the

inconsiderable.

to

extinguish

is stake

not

be would

contingent liability. Excluding widows! benefits, for which no estimate

pensions on

is currently

approximately

£10

available, expenditure million pa (at 1984-85 prices and exchange rates) at the turn of the

century. The trend would be downwards, but the liability would not be finally extinguished until 2040. HMG would have to finance this itself if the SAR Government defaulted. The risk would be avoided

by

for responsibility to pass to arranging

HMG before Chinese

sovereignty is resumed: the Hong Kong Government would finance the pensions by handing over capitalised values

of the entitlements (if

necessary in a phased

As at programme).

1997, these would be in the

region of £210 million at 1984-85 prices and exchange rates.

15. The Hong Kong Government is strongly opposed to a take-over because of the divisive effect this would have on the public

It would also be difficult to persuade the Legislative

Council to approve the £210m representing the capitalised value of

Moreover, the pensions.

action on HMOCS pensions by

by HMG would

service.

inevitably undermine

our reas sur ances

on

indeed there

i s a case for

the

of credibility

leaving responsiblity

the

Agreement;

The

for

these pensions with the SAR Government as a mark of our faith in the

Agreement.

balance of argument is therefore against early action, but the question should be looked at again, perhaps in about

1990.

CONFIDENTIAL

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