CONFIDENTIAL

ositive aspect of this problem is that as of writing the Hong Kong dollar is at 23 year low against the pound 1:14.9. The whole guestion

stering safeguards

HMGS Commitments towards IMOCs pension seperate sudinission.

of

subject consurting the Chinese

219.

24

s and

Whatever the scheme is decided upon, this is clearly an issue on which the Chinese could legitimately claim they should be properly consulted. They could also point to the precedent established by consultations over the limited compensation scheme, which was the subject of discussion at several Plenary meetings of the JLG. Against this background and our decision to step up the

level of consultation with the Chinese, it would not be advisable to think in terms of simply informing the Chinese or of merely going through the motions of consultations.

It is extremely difficult to predict how the Chinese will react to any proposals on this issue. Before June 1989, we had judged that the Chinese would be opposed to a traditional General Compensation Scheme, on the basis that it would, in 1997, denude the civil

service of many key personnel.

be different.

Now, however, their reaction could

75

26

L

The Chinese may suspect that the modified compensation scheme

approved by Ministers in 1988 is yet another attempt by Britain to continue to exert her influence in Hong Kong after 1997, involving as it does payment of SARG officers by HMG for up to 9 years after 1997. The arguments in paragraphs 14 and 16 above might not cut

much ice.

I recommend that

In view of the uncertainty of any Chinese response, one possible we should

option would be to approach the Chinese now, possibly in the margins at JLG XVI, explaining the problem, setting out our preferred solution, while outlining some others and seeking their agreement to the preferred solution. This would be in keeping with our new policy of consulting the Chinese at an early stage.

But we wůld

have to make it clear that we would ultimately have to take the

decision which we considered best.

WEDABH/10

CONFIDENTIAL

Share This Page