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the CPA and
mandatory
having completed all stages of the screening and review
procedures). Progress with mandatory repatriation has
been even slower. There is a lack of consensus on this
issue in the Steering Committee established to implement
some countries are unwilling to support
repatriation as the logical outcome of
screening. The United States has argued that mandatory
repatriation should not be implemented until all
volunteers have been returned and the flow of new
applications has dried up. The Government's position, supported by HMG, is that without mandatory repatriation
the purpose of the CPA will be frustrated. If the
problem is to be brought under control, it is essential
that all elements of the CPA be
implemented.
6
It is
impossible
the rate of arrivals in
been
prepared
to predict with any certainty
1990. Contingency plans have
which would enable us to cope with between
20,000 and 30,000 arrivals, Needless to say such a rate
of arrivals
pressure.
would put the
administration
under great
The immediate issue is how best to head off a
major influx during the summer of 1990. There are, with
a number of variations, two broad strategies.
CONFIDENTIAL #2
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