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political asylum.

7. There has been considerable press interest in his

departure both in Hong Kong and internationally.

reports have been fairly accurate.

Press

Possible withdrawl of China's Most Favoured Nation

Status

8. President Bush will have to decide shortly whether to

renew China's Most Favoured Nation (MFN) status. He is

conscious that the mood on the Hill is very much against

renewal because of Chinese inflexibility in responding to

previous US overtures.

10. Both we and the Hong Kong Government have been

lobbying vigourously.

The Foreign Secretary raised this

issue recently with Mr Baker. The Governor has also

written to key Senators and Congressmen.

11. The Hong Kong Government have calculated that

withdrawal of China's MFN status could result in the loss

of 20,000 jobs in Hong Kong and at least 1% of GDP. It

would also be a severe blow to confidence and cut across

our efforts to mobilise international support for Hong

Kong. We are preparing a message for the Prime Minister

to send to President Bush.

EELAHG

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