From:

SECRET

Mr N Bevan, Assistant Under Secretary of State (Commitments)

A

ET MON

MINISTRY OF DEFENCE

Mr Paul, Hai)

Advice lli

Main Building, Whitehall, London SW1A 2HB

AUS (C) 4/7/2/2 (48/90) Telephone (Direct Dialling) 01-218

(Switchboard) 01-218 9000

who to deal?

RJT McLaren Esq CMG

Room WH 323

Whitehall

Assistant Under Secretary

Foreign and Commonwealth Office

Mr Stone

HKB 020/16

For

you

Ilternk

RECEIVED IN REGISTRY

19 MAR 1990

9 February 1990

DESK OFFICER

INDEX

HA

SW1

Dear Robris,

HONG KONG:

CONTINGENCY PLANNINGTM

16/2 W18/2

A thought has occurred to me since MISC 140 met on Wednesday that I thought I should share with you.

The Group's report to Ministers identified the possibility (paragraph 4b) of panic in Hong Kong induced by Chinese activity including verbal threats or threatening action on the border. There are a number of potential triggers for such action, including Chinese dissatisfaction with 'progress to democracy' in Hong Kong or disturbances in the Colony deriving from concern about UK policy (eg in relation to right of abode) or from the VBP situation. The possibility of hostile posturing of this sort on the part of the Chinese is perhaps greater now than we thought last autumn.

This prompts the thought that as part of our contingency planning we should take stock on a regular basis of the risks in this area. This is no doubt something on which the FCO could update MISC 140 next time round. Alternatively you might think it worth seeking a JIC assessment.

I am copying this letter to Len Appleyard.

Yours

ever,

Niinlas

SECRET

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