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such action was being taken in the interests of maintaining confidence in Hong Kong and not selfishly to serve the UK's own

interests. In the same vein, the more we do to meet the pressures

for change, the more difficult it will be to persuade the Chinese of

the underlying reasons for our actions. While this factor should

not dissuade us from taking action, it needs nonetheless to be borne

in mind.

Moreover, our action would be interpreted as an attempt to lure capital and talent from the territory on a massive scale, at Hong

Kong's expense. Although there is a feeling that Britain may be

losing out, our concern must be to ensure that Hong Kong does not

lose out. We would be accused, rightly, of undermining the Joint

Declaration and jeopardising Hong Kong's future prosperity.

As indicated above, it has been suggested that confidence in Hong

Kong could be sustained by giving 3 1/4 million of its inhabitants

the means to leave the territory and settle in Britain at any time

of their choosing. On the contrary, that would serve only to

undermine the stability and cohesion of the territory, on which

confidence ultimately depends. It would in effect create a society

in which the long term commitment of a majority of its members,

including those who had been established there the longest, would

always be in doubt.

Another point for consideration is that the Hong Kong Government

face a difficult situation: they are very concerned that IMG should

not be seen to single out "fat-cats" and "useful people" for

preferential treatment ("creaming off the best"). Public reaction

to such measures would be wholly negative and would be likely to

increase criticism of Britain. HMG would face further criticism for

failing to fulfil its obligations towards Hong Kong and for making

cynical moves to benefit the UK. On the other hand, however, as far

as Hong Kong Civil Servants are concerned, there is a need for

action to retain those whose services would be essential up to 1997

and to find means which would also encourage them to stay on in Hong

Kong beyond 1997.

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