SECURITY CLASSIFICATION

follows:

CONFIDENTIAL

DSR 11C (Revised 5/87)

Top Secret

Secret

Confidential

Restricted

Unclassified

PRIVACY MARKING

In Confidence

(a) The decisions taken at the CITES Conference have

left Hong Kong ivory traders with very little time to

dispose of their existing stocks in an orderly manner.

These stocks, which were legally acquired in

conformity with CITES regulations, amount to some 600

tonnes and were estimated to be worth some £83 million

before the ban. Some potential markets are already

closed to Hong Kong as the result of the UK sponsored

Resolution to recommend the immediate implementation of

the ban without the normal 90 day grace period. There is

therefore a real risk that if Hong Kong has to comply

with the CITES ban from 18 January 1990 the ivory trade

would simply be driven under ground to the longer-term

detriment of CITES controls. A six month reservation

would allow disposal of existing stocks to non-CITES

parties (eg Taiwan and South Korea).

(b)

There is considerable public sympathy in Hong Kong

for the plight of the ivory workers. Failure to enter a

reservation on Hong Kong's behalf could therefore

generate hostility towards the Hong Kong Government and

HMG. This could in turn lead to the Legislative Council

blocking the Administration's draft legislation to

implement the ban since they would be seen to be

legislating against Hong Kong interests and in favour of

a "unreasonable" UK decision. This would have very

serious constitutional and political consequences. It

would also mean that the Hong Kong Government would not

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