9

commodities, including those of oil products,

are also contributing.

However, the firming up

in the exchange value of the US dollar, and

hence that of the Hong Kong dollar, should be

having some stabilising effect.

17.

The latest price indicators do not

suggest that there is a need to change the

forecast rates of increase in the Consumer Price

Index (A), at 8.5%, and the GDP deflator, at 9%.

On the GDP deflator, marginal reductions in the

forecast rates of increase in the deflators for

building and construction expenditure and for

plant and equipment expenditure seem likely to

be offset by marginal rises in the forecast

rates of increase in the deflators for exports

and for government consumption expenditure.

18.

The First Quarter Economic Report 1989

will be on sale on 25 May 1989 at the Government

Publications Centre in Connaught Place, Central,

at $19 a copy.

Economic Analysis Division Economic Services Branch Government Secretariat 24 May 1989

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