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CONFIDENTIAL 一機密

*

(11)

(35% in the fourth

was maintained at a high level

quarter). Thus the visible trade deficit widened sharply

in the second half of 1988 (US$6.59 billion in the second

half compared with US$1.12 billion in the first half).

This deterioration was at least partly related to

inflation which caused resources to be shifted from the

external sector to the domestic sector, thus reducing the

growth rate of China's exports, and also induced some

increase in China's imports to satisfy the excess demand

in the economy.

12.

China's tourism industry earned US$2.2 billion

in 1988, 19% more than in 1987, equivalent to about 30% of

China's visible trade deficit in 1988. At the end of 1988

(11)

Exports

Growth rate over the

same

period

Imports

Growth rate over the

same

period

Visible trade balance

(US$bn)

Value (US$bn)

in 1987

(8)

Value (US$bn)

in 1987

(%)

1988 1st half

21.02

26

22.14

19

-1.12

Q3

11.87

20

14.17

34

-2.30

Q4

14.65

13

18.94

35

-4.29

Q1-04

47.54

21

55.25

28

-7.71

Source: China's General Administration of

Customs Statistics

But according to trade statistics compiled by China's Ministry of Foreign Economic Relations and Trade which are considered less useful for macroeconomic analysis, China had a small trade surplus of US$0.78 billion in 1988; with exports of US$40.1 billion. (+16% over 1987) and imports of US$39.32 billion (+18% over 1987).

CONFIDENTIAL

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