CONFIDENTIAL

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favour. This changed drastically in 1988, when there was a surplus of HK$3 billion in South Korea's favour. One possible explanation for such a turn around relates to the

different product patterns of the exports of China and

South Korea to each other. South Korea's exports to China consist mainly of light manufactured goods and

semi-manufactures as well as machinery for light

industries, which are mainly destined for South China and

hence are likely to use Hong Kong as an entrepôt. On the

other hand, a sizeable proportion of China's exports to

South Korea consists of basic raw materials and minerals

produced in North China and these are more likely to be shipped to South Korea direct.

Re-exports of China origin to South Korea

(HK$ Mn)

Re-exports of South Korean

origin to

China (HK$ Mn)

Trade surplus in favour of South Korea

(HK$ Mn)

-74

1979

103

29

1980

166

225

59

1981

413

811

398

1982

569

338

-231

1983

839

327

-512

1984

1,445

1,254

-191

1985

1,943

2,769

826

1986

2,939

2,155

-784

1987

5,065

4,196

-869

1988

6,559

9,554

2,995

Commentary

10.

The indirect trade between China and South Korea

provides further evidence of how countries can benefit

from international trade if there are differences in their

resource endowments and they are at different stages of

CONFIDENTIAL #2

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