Mr McCleary, FED

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HKB 020/6

China: Political Situation

The Secretary of State has seen your minute of 9 March and the comments on it. He thought that Mr Clark's teleletter was useful. He thinks on balance that Zhao Ziyang will probably come through his present difficulties. A key indicator will clearly be whether or not he succeeds to the Chairmanship of the Central Military Commission.

13 March 1989

CC:

PS/Lord Glenarthur

Mr Gillmore

Mr McLaren

Mr Morton, Research Dept Mr Paul, HKD

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LC.

(R N Peirce)

32

ROY/

Miss Massen

Mr Fortran N147

Mr Woo

Enlarge. W13/3

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