Annex E
12
20.
Taking these two methods of categorisation
together, it is clear that the better educated and those in the professional streams are emigrating in significant
numbers.
keplenishment
21.
Forecasts for the estimated annual output of first degree and sub-degree qualification holders up to
The figures for local the year 2000 are at Annex E. production are reasonably firm at least for the next few
Obviously the further ahead one looks, the more cautiously the figures need to be treated.
years.
The estimates
for overseas degree production must be treated with caution because the information available within Hong Kong Government is not at all comprehensive.
Moreover,
there is no way to distinguish between the visa renewal
While there is some cases and new applications.
information available about students in the CNCC and voluntary return systems which can be used for estimation purposes, a number of heroic assumption have to be made about the length of time required to obtain a degree, the numbers of students who successfully complete their courses, and the proportion who subsequently return to Hong Kong, The figures at Annex E effectively assume that everyone, irrespective of the level of education reached before going overseas, ultimately graduates in the shortest possible time and returns to Hong Kong.
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