8.

In the past one powerful argument against a new resettlement

commitment has been the fear that this would induce even greater

numbers of people to leave Vietnam in the hope of resettlement in

the West. We believe that our success so far in getting across

the deterrent message of the screening/repatriation policy has

substantially reduced this risk.

9. We have also carefully considered whether our reception

facilities and statutory services could deal with an increase

flow of refugees. The voluntary agencies argue that they could

cope with as many as 60 per month (as opposed to 20 per month at

present). We are more cautious. The agencies and statutory

services have not coped with such numbers in recent years though

they did manage 40 per month during parts of 1985-86 and 1986-87

without undue difficulties. We judge it right to go for about 40

per month again. If sustained over a period of 2 years from now

this would amount to an additional commitment of 1,000.

Details

of a possible package on these lines are set out in an annex to

this minute.

10. The proposed package seeks to take in both people who have a

greater ability to adapt to life in this country and to make a

success of the opportunity we are offering and also the

longstayers for whom the humanitarian case is strongest. The

Hong Kong government have offered to assist in identifying

suitable candidates for us. Among those with potential to settle

here, the Training Agency will be able to help with guidance on

the assessments on which final selection will be made by

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