EXHIBIT A-12
TELECOMMUNICATIONS DEMAND
(HK MILLIONS)
SCENARIO 5
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1997
2002
2007
Base Line (Scenario 1)
Lines (Thousands) (NP)
586
624
664
705
748
973
1,241
1,584
0
0
0
0
0
65
157
222
Share of Total Lines (NP)
08
08
0%
0%
0%
78
13%
14%
Share of Lines (EP)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
93%
87%
868
Share of Premium Lines (NP)
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
19%
328
35%
Share of Int'l Call Minutes (NP)
0%
0%
08
0%
0%
68
21%
25%
BUSINESS LINES
Incremental Int'l Call Growth Int'l Call Growth (Scenario 1) Total International Call Minutes Share of IDD Call Minutes (NP) Share of IDD Call Minutes (EP)
0%
08
0%
0%
0%
5%
5%
5%
18%
16%
14%
128
10%
6%
68
68
125
145
165
185
204
304
412
560
0
0
0
0
0
20
52
78
125
145
165
185
204
284
360
481
INTERNATIONAL SERVICES
Incremental Int'l Call Growth
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
5%
5%
5%
Total Int'l Call Growth
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
11%
11%
68
Total International Call Minutes
173
200
228
256
281
521
1,095
2,102
Share of Int'l Revenue (NP)
0
0
0
0
0
31
230
526
Share of Int'l Revenue (EP)
173
200
228
256
281
490
865
1,577