Page
2.4
Growth and development of non franchised products and services
40
2.4.1
2.4.2
Transition to competition within Hong Kong Telephone handsets
40
42
2.4.3
Key systems, PBXS and PABXS
43
2.4.4
Data, value added and mobile services
43
2.5
Tariffs
52
2.6
Performance
57
2.7
Future constraints and opportunities
60
2.8 Forces of change
61
3.
FUTURE SCENARIOS FOR TELECOMMUNICATIONS AND CABLE TELEVISION
64
3.1 Future scenarios
64
3.2
Scenario 1: A single network carrier for all telecommunications services and cable television
66
3.2.1
Definition of scenario 1
66
3.2.2
3.2.3
Revenues from cable television services Homes in the service area
67
67
3.2.4
Build rates
67
3.2.5
Programming
67
3.2.6
Programming costs
68
3.2.7 Consumers' willingness to pay
70
3.2.8
Connection rates
72
3.2.9
Financial viability
75
3.3
Scenario 2: Two networks, one for cable and one for telecommunications
76
3.3.1
Definition of scenario 2
3.3.2
Incremental Revenues
225
76
76
3.4
Scenario 3: Two networks, one for cable and non franchised services and the other for
76
telecommunications
3.4.1 3.4.2
Definition of scenario 3
Incremental revenues
76
76
3.5
Scenario 4: Two networks with a second and separate network for cable and all local telecommunications
78
3.5.1
Definition of scenario 4
78