EXHIBIT A-12
TELECOMMUNICATIONS DEMAND
(HK MILLIONS)
SCENARIO 5
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1997
2002
2007
Base Line (Scenario 1)
Lines (Thousands) (NP)
586
624
664
705
748
973
1,241
1,584
0
0
0
0
0
65
157
222
Share of Total Lines (NP)
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
78
13%
14%
Share of Lines (EP) .
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
93%
87%
86%
Share of Premium Lines (NP)
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
19%
328
35%
Share of Int'l Call Minutes (NP)
0%
0%
0%
08
0%
6%
21%
258
INTERNATIONAL SERVICES
Incremental Int'l Call Growth
0%
0%
0%
0%
08
58
5%
58
Total Int'l Call Growth
18%
168
148
128
10%
11%
118
6%
Total International Call Minutes
173
200
228
256
281
521
1,095
2,102
Share of Int'l Revenue (NP)
0
0
0
0
0
31
230
526
Share of Int'l Revenue (EP)
173
200
228
256
281
490
865
1,577