CONFIDENTIAL
047733
MDHIAN
HAS SLOWED SOMEWHAT SINCE THE THIRD QUARTER OF LAST YEAR. GROWTH IN
EXPORTS HAS ALSO SLOWED BUT IS STILL SUBSTANTIAL. IN APRIL DOMESTIC EXPORTS INCREASED BY 10 PERCENT, AND RE-EXPORTS BY 45 PERCENT, OVER THE SAME MONTH IN 1987. IN MARCH DOMESTIC EXPORTS HAD BEEN 3 PERCENT LOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS YEAR, EVEN THOUGH RE-EXPORTS HAD CONTINUED TO GROW.
4.
HONG KONG RETAINS ITS AIR OF FRENETIC ACTICITY. INFRASTRUCTURAL AND DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS PROCEED APACE AND CONTRIBUTE TO A BETTER
QUALITY OF LIFE. FOREIGN INVESTORS AND RETURNING EMIGRANTS CONTINUE TO BELIEVE THAT THERE IS MONEY TO BE MADE. THE MAIN PROBLEM IS STILL A SHORTAGE OF LABOUR, PARTICULARLY IN THE CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY.
THE BASIC LAW
NOT
REPORTING ON THE
CONSIDERED COMMENT ON THE ABOUT THE DRAFT OR FIND
READ IT. IT WILL TAKE
5. THE DRAFT BASIC LAW, PUBLISHED ON 28 APRIL, HAS ATTRACTED A GOOD DEAL OF MEDIA COVERAGE, MUCH OF IT CRITICAL. MODALITIES OF COMMENT HAS TENDED TO OUTPACE DRAFT ITSELF. MANY PEOPLE REMAIN APATHETIC IT TOO COMPLICATED TO STUDY. MOST HAVE TIME BEFORE OPINION BEGINS TO COALESCE ON A FEW KEY ISSUES. EVEN THEN INTEREST IS LIKELY TO BE LIMITED LARGELY TO THE EDUCATED MIDDLE- CLASS DURING THE CONSULTATION EXERCISE MANY PEOPLE WILL BECOME AWARE FOR THE FIRST TIME OF THE PERCEIVED SHORTCOMINGS IN THE BASIC LAW. THEIR CONFIDENCE WILL BE BOOSTED IF THE CHINESE RESPOND SENSITIVELY TO CRITICISMS OF THE DRAFT AND SHOW WILLINGNESS TO AMEND IT. IT WILL BE DAMAGED IF THE CHINESE BEHAVE IN A HEAVY-HANDED WAY.
REFUGEES AND IMMIGRANTS
6.
A GREAD DEAL OF PUBLIC ATTENTION AND ANXIETY HAS BEEN FOCUSSED ON THE MASSIVE INFLUX OF VIETNAMESE BOAT PEOPLE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 1988. THE PUBLIC, WITH FEW EXCEPTIONS (MAINLY EXPATRIATES AND WESTERN-EDUCATED LIBERALS), WANT THE GOVERNMENT TO ABANDON ITS POLICY OF FIRST ASYLUM. THEY FIND IT DIFFICULT TO UNDERSTAND WHY THIS HAS NOT ALREADY BEEN DONE AND EVEN WHY ARRIVALS CANNOT BE SENT BACK ΤΟ VIETNAM. AS EVER, PUBLIC PERCEPTIONS ARE COLOURED BY THE CONTRASTING TREATMENT OF ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS FROM CHINA WHO, DESPITE THEIR CLOSER TIES OF RACE AND EVEN KINSHIP, ALMOST WITH EXCEPTION REPATRIATED. THIS CONTRAST HAS RECENTLY BEEN HEIGHTENED BY THE PROSECUTION OF 67 ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS FOUND WORKING ON BUILDING SITES, A MEASURE MADE NECESSARY BY THE SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE NUMBER OF IIS DETECTED SO FAR THIS YEAR.
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CONFIDENTIAL