REVISED EXPENDITURE AND REVENUE ESTIMATES FOR 1987-88

Sir, whilst it will be some weeks before the Government

accounts for 1987-88 are finally closed, the early indications

that the expenditure out-turn for the year has been much as

expected. Some delays in capital purchases are largely offset

by slightly higher spending in other areas. Overall, the

variation from the revised expenditure estimates tabled on 2

ent March will be considerably less than 1. A fuller exposition is given in an Appendix to the printed version of this speech.

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As several Members have correctly observed, our

revenue has performed even better than I predicted. Significant gains have been experienced in three areas Profits fax, le Company Registration fees and stamp duty. When we prepared our revised estimate for profits fax yields in 1987-88, good reason to believe that tax receipts in the second half of the year would be significantly affected by the aftermath of the

October stock market crash, bearing in mind the gloomy prognostications that were current in the months immediately

after the crash. This has not, however, proved to be the and, as we have seen, corporate results have continued to go

from strength to strength. We have also witnessed a reduction

in tax arrears encouraged, perhaps,

by improved company

liquidity and relatively low interest rates. The result is an improvement in estimated profits Tax receipts for the year from

the revised estimate of $13.1 billion to $15.4 billion.

4/ccxo.

Of less significance, Company Registration Fees have

been boosted by some $350 million due to a substantial one-off

yield from a major company restructuring that took place towards the year end. Stock+market turnover, having

turnover, having fallen after the market crash, recovered sharply towards the year end. result, out-turn on Stamp Duty improved further from my revised

estimate of $50 billion to $5.3 billion.

As a

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