Expenditure Growth
Appendix A-Contd.
18 Diagram 4 indicates the pattern of expenditure growth allowed for in these forecasts compared with results since 1975-76. The following points are of note:
-Recurrent expenditure growth has been successfully stabilized since 1983-84 at around 5%-6%. The
forecasts assume a continuation of firm control over recurrent expenditure.
-Capital expenditure growth is inevitably much more volatile and, indeed, was negative in 1984–85. The
forecasts assume a return to growth albeit controlled to a narrower range.
-Total real expenditure growth has fallen considerably since the late 1970's and early 1980's and is forecast
to be controlled at just over 5% p.a.
%
*
Real Growth Rates in Consolidated Account Expenditure
Diagram 4
60
50
50
40
30
20
20
10
R
0
T
-10
20
-20
C
Forecast
R Recurrent
C Capital
T Total
上
-30
75-76 76-77 73-78 78-79 79-80 80-81 81-82 82-83 83-34 84-85 85-86 86-57 87-88 88-89 89-90 90-91 91-92
Year
19 The projected trend in staff growth implied in these forecasts is indicated in Diagram 5 as follows:
Percentage Growth in the Establishment of the Civil Service
Growth
%
10
9
8
7
6
5
3
2
1
0
75-76 76-77 77-78-78-79 79-80 80-81 81-82 82-83 83-84 84-25 25-86 86-57 87-88 88-89 89-90 90-91 91-92
-
11
Forecast
Year
Diagram 5