The figures for traffic flow (which is based on

parity of toll regime with the Lion Rock Tunnel), as well as

capital and operating costs have been assessed by

consultants and reviewed by Transport Branch as reasonable

and realistic.

Results of the base case

4.

Based on these assumptions, the base case, which is

based on zero royalty, gives the following criteria for the

project:

NPV @ 5%

$455 m

IRR

7.6%

5.

The NPV (Net Present Value) is a measure of the

total worth of the project expressed in today's dollars. A

positive NPV at 5% discount rate is considered to be a good

indicator that project of this nature is worthy of being

undertaken commercially.

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