be generated.

Renewable energy sources

with the exception of nydro,

where it is available

are not likely to play a globally significant

role, even if solar and wind power may become important locally in some

places.

The real choices for new electricity generating capacity are most

likely to be between coal and nuclear and gas and hydro where they are

available.

Nuclear power, of course, means very high investments, and it is

difficult to find capital in these times. Given the scarcity of capital,

it is of paramount importance that all nuclear construction projects de

well olanned, have consistent political support and be tightly controlled

against cost and schedule overruns. We have seen what can be done in

these respects for example, in Japan, where the average construction

time for 13 plants coming on line during the period 1980-1986 was 54

months

and we have seen what plant standardization has done

example, in France

to keep costs low and under control.

seen what influence delays can have on nuclear economics.

——

for

Also, we fave

The competitiveness of nuclear power plants, properly planned and

built, is well established. The coal-produced kilowatt-hour is up to two

times more expensive than the nuclear one, except at some locations near

coal mines in Canada and the USA.

Using the Agency's data bank, which has operating data for most of

the world's nuclear power reactors, it is now possible to discern a

general improvement in the operating performance of these plants. In

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