52.

The outcome of our present budgetary strategy is shown in the Medium Range Forecast (15). The Forecast indicates an

average annual surplus over the

the remainder of the forecast period

of consolidated revenue over expenditure of some $1.5 billion

annum (16). I per

regard this as no more than a reasonable

cushion, which must be seen in the light of an aggregate of consolidated revenue and expenditure exceeding $100 billion in

Clearly, year.

relatively small percentage changes or expenditure could have a major impact on the

each

either revenue

residual surplus.

in

REVISED ESTIMATES 1986-87

53.

Before introducing the estimates for 1987-88, I shall

describe the revised estimates of Government's expenditure and

revenue for the current fiscal year.

54.

Total expenditure on General Revenue Account before

transfers to funds is now expected to be $33.9 billion, which is

in line with budget. We are seeing the results of another year

of tight budgetary performance. All controlling officers have

played their part and I am grateful to them. Our system of cash

limits is clearly effective.

two pay awards

than had been

55.

In practice the combined effect of the

to staff granted during 1986 was slightly more

anticipated in framing the budget. But this was offset by some

under-spending on non-staff departmental running costs and an

adjustment to payments under the Defence Costs Agreement.

(15) Appendix C.

(16) Although the year 1989-90 shows a small forecast deficit this is after

allowing for a further equity injection into

into MTRC. On current projections this further equity may not be needed but is retained on the grounds of prudence.

:!

16

/56. The

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