CONFIDENTIAL

10

should act as trustee for funds from donor governments, and is also subject to

agr ent on the price for the debt. The commercial banks have reportedly rejected

Costa Rica's financing proposals which were presented in early June.

Club task force visited Cuba from 8 July.

The Paris

24 The meeting of IDB Governors in June failed to reach agreement on the conditions

for the Seventh Replenishment and formal negotiations will not now resume until

15 October in Guatemala. The dispute centres on the voting structure in the

Executive Board, with the US continuing to insist on increased power to delay or

veto loans in return for a substantial replenishment with paid-in capital. In the

absence of agreement IDB management have proposed that the IDB proceeds with $3 bn

of loan approvals planned for this year, with resources provided from funds carried

over from 1986 and increased borrowing against the stock of callable capital.

South and East Asia

25 At its annual meeting in The Hague in June, the Inter-Governmental Group on

Indonesia agreed to increase funding for 1987-88 to $3.15 bn (20% more than the

1986/87 figure and 25% more than the World Bank had recommended). The scale of the

increase, together with the high proportion of untied funding, was taken by the

Indonesians as further evidence of international confidence in the present economic

strategy. The June OPEC accord in Vienna also provided the Indonesians with good

news. The production quota for H2 1987 has been raised from 1.133 mbd to 1.19 mbd,

and the $18 p/b price appears to be holding: the authorities remain confident that

the current account deficit will be substantially reduced from the 1986 figure of

$4.1 bn. In response to a net outflow of approximately $1.1 bn from Indonesia over

the past two months, some rupiahs 800 bn ($500 mn) of deposits have been withdrawn

by four large state-owned firms from the commercial banks, to try to force a major

sell-off of dollars. As a result overnight rates jumped to 40%, and $800 mn is

reported to have been switched back into local currency. Firmer oil and commodity

prices continue to assist the nascent recovery in the Malaysian economy, and the 28

target for real GDP growth in 1987 looks increasingly realistic.

26 The Philippines government has agreed to drop demands for better terms on its

$13.2 bn rescheduling package in return for undertakings by some creditor banks to

participate in the country's debt-equity conversion programme. The authorities now

appear convinced that they will save much more through sales of Philippine

Investment Notes (PINs) than the estimated $5 mn they would have saved had they been

Share This Page