IN CONFIDENCE

6. The Singapore Government took powers in August 1986 to restrict

the circulation of foreign publications which meddled in local

issues. Both Time magazine (September) and the Asia Wall Street

Journal (January) have had their circulations limited, in the former

case for refusing to publish an official correction to an article on

Jeyaretnam; in the latter on the AWSJ's refusal to accept that a

story on the new second tier Singapore stock market was factually

incorrect. More recently, the Singapore authorities have refused to

renew the employment pass of the resident correspondent of the Far

Eastern Economic Review for reasons as yet unspecified. It is

doubtful whether this authoritarian approach has any serious effect

on Singapore's ability to attract investment or on its role as a

services and financial centre. However the trend should not be

taken too far.

7. Mr Lee, now 62, has reshuffled his Cabinet, bringing on a new

generation of political leaders. Goh Chok Tong (44) First Deputy

Prime Minister and Brigadier General Lee Hsien Loong (34), Mr Lee's

son, Minister for Trade and Industry, Deputy Defence Minister and

Chairman of the Economic Committee set up in 1985 to identify "new

directions" for the Singapore economy, are possible future Prime

Ministers. When Mr Lee relinquishes the premiership he may become President, which under legislation now in preparation will become an elected position with some executive powers.

The Economy

8. From an unpromising beginning in the early 1960s, Singapore

experienced rapid growth for two decades, averaging 10% a year during 1965-83, with low inflation and a strong balance of payments position. At the outset of independence, the authorities adopted an

export-orientated development stategy. The economy has been built upon manufacturing, Singapore's traditional role as an entrepot port, and its emergence as a regional and financial banking centre.

9. In 1980, Singapore's economic strategy changed from encouraging

entrepôt activity and labour-intensive manufactured exports, to

IN CONFIDENCE

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