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7

10.

Another noteworthy development revealed by

the 1986 Budget was the decline in state revenue as a

proportion of national income over the past few years, in line with the decentralization of economic power to lower levels. Comparing 1979 with 1986,

this ratio fell from 31.9% to 25%. As regards the prospects for further reforms and decentralization in the economic system, the outlook is uncertain at

present. In the National Economic and Social

Development Plan for 1987, a brief reference was made

to the need to reduce the scope of mandatory planning

and the number of materials (referring to raw

materials and machines) under unified state

distribution. It was also stated that the scope of

guidance planning and market regulation would be

broadened. However, no concrete reform measures have

been put forward. On the contrary, reforms in some

areas have apparently slowed down. The draft enterprise law, which would give enterprises more autonomy in decision making, was not taken to the National People's Congress (NPC) meeting held in late March for approval. This was widely regarded as signaling that the debate over enterprise reform is still in deadlock. Apparently, there is still a lot

of controversy over the separation of enterprises from the government and over the desirability of granting enterprises more autonomy in the absence of

a rational price structure. Also related to these problems, the experiment on the issue of stocks by

state enterprises has met some setbacks. The State

Council has recently decided that stock issues should

be restricted to a few collective enterprises with

state approvals. State enterprises, on the other hand, are allowed to float bonds, but not to issue

shares.

CONFIDENTIAL #

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