G.F. 326

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billion, of which 80% was from Hong Kong.

Most of the

funds from Hong Kong were invested in hotel projects, while some went into transport, energy and port development. In addition, Guangzhou earned processing fees totalling US$1 billion, with the great majority of

these outward processing activities being connected with

Hong Kong.

Part III: Likely developments in the longer term

52.

(a) Two political pre-conditions

As regards developments in Hong Kong-China

economic relations in the longer term, politics are likely

to be as important as economics. Two important political

pre-conditions have been assumed, one for China and the

other for Hong Kong.

53.

In the first place, it is assumed that China

will continue to implement its economic reforms and open

door policies with its economic decision-making process

more decentralized and its business operations more

market-oriented, though it will remain basically as a centrally planned economy. Some key features of a planned

economy, such as foreign exchange control, price control on strategic commodities and regulation of state

enterprises, are likely to remain even in the longer

term. These restrictions will, on the one hand, impose

significant constraints on China's economic development and on the development of Hong Kong-China economic relations. On the other hand, they may also present

continuing business opportunities to Hong Kong, with Hong

Kong capitalizing on the advantage of being

internationally oriented and not subject to these

restrictions.

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