5.

11

4.2.4 It may be concluded that the rates of return over the

period, in averaging out at 18.9%, are only

-

marginally in excess of the upper limit of the public

utilities benchmark (15% 18%) of reasonableness set

by the HKG. Whilst the average exceeds the 16.5%

suggested as reasonable in para. 4.1.7 by 2.4% it

should be borne in mind that an average calculated

from an earlier point in time would probably be

considerably lower. Consequently it can be claimed

that the accumulated cash surplus is primarily if not

wholly the result of not extracting available

"reasonable surplus" as community dividend in the

past rather than the result of generating excessive

rates of return. The major part of the cash may

therefore be taken to represent retained surplus

which could, at any time, be distributed as community

dividend.

Recommendations

5.1

It is recommended that:

(a) a reasonable target rate of return on ANFA employed in

the business (based upon the historic cost convention)

be set at 16.5% with effect from 1.4.87;

(b)

(c)

in common with most profit control schemes of Hong Kong

public utilities the target rate of return should be

after tax but before interest charged or earned;

the target rate of return should not be rigidly applied

in any given year in the determination of charge levels

rather it should be the aim to obtain an average return

of 16.5% over a number of years;

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