verify.

Practitioners

of PRA

find generally

that

the

probability

of a major accident is exceedingly

small

other approach

to become negligible. SO as

Adherents to the

(generally critics of nuclear power)

reject the PRA method and focus instead

on the very

serious

consequences

of

severe a

accident.

They

argue that no system designed by man is fail-proof

and

point to

numerous

instances

in

which

construction

workers, equipment vendors, operators,

or

others

made have

errors

or

otherwise

have

violated

safety

standards

evidence as

for

their

arguments.

They therefore believe that

a

disastrous

accident is always likely sometime

soon.

(cfr.

Issue Brief

Nuclear on

Power Plant

Safety

and

Regulation

prepared by Congressional

Research

Service).

N B.:

Between

1971

and 1984, there were 151

significant nuclear-safety incidents in 14 countries.

Observations

12.

In

my

humble view, the generally accepted

requirement of an evacuation plan appears

to be the

result

of

an

attempt

to

compromise

the

2

that

it is

irreconcilable methods of

assessment. If one takes

the PRA argument, the risk of any major mishap

negligible

is SO

unnecessary to have any

evacuation plan at all.

But if one

takes the other

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