489
A
LB 2AGE
سار
hayder Bill in tham (or)
Mr Leeks
No suprizes
BBC "NEWSNIGHT" POLL
чекий
대인
an
R
JELENG
Onl
Reference
REGISTRY
1 0 DEC 1986
DESK OFFICER
INDEX
HKK 011/1
518
REGISTRY
PA
Action Taken
Mr Hum asked for
analysis of the attached tables forwarded by DIS re
responses to the questions put in the opinion poll in Hong Kong in October, on the future and direct elections. Hong Kong telno 3668 (489 on HKK 011/1, attached) summarised the responses. I give below an analysis (written as a layman, not as a statistician).
A: How seriously have you and your family thought of leaving Hong Kong?
The groups who have
"seriously" of leaving are:
thought in greatest numbers at least
by age, the 30-39 year olds (13%)
by education, "post-secondary" (15%)
by income, those on over HK$7500 monthly (22%)
the statement that China cannot be
over the future of
B: What is your reaction to trusted to abide by the terms of its agreement Hong Kong?
The older the respondent, the less likely he was to have a view the statement (41% of over 50s had no view).
The youngest respondents disagreed in greatest numbers (61% of 15-19s).
By occupation, students (62%) and white-collar workers disagreed most strongly. Νο category had a majority in agreement
with the statement.
C: What is your reaction to the statement that HMG has done all it
to protect the interests of the people of Hong Kong?
can
Most agreement was in the "eldest" and "youngest" respondents' categories; the 20-29 age group dissented in greatest numbers. (More respondents over 40 years of age neither agreed nor disagreed than of younger years. Professional and white-collar workers and high-earners dissented most.
those
D: Will your family S living standard go up or down after
1997?
CODE 18-77
AWO Ltd.
7/84
earners
The only significant deviations from
overall response reported in the te 1 egrams were
that more of
those below age 24 (up to 47%) and the highest
(50%) thought that their standard of living would decline.
the
E:
Are you in favour of direct elections before 1997?
youngest respondents were more (up to 89%), and
and the eldest less (72%) in favour of direct elections than the overall 82%. Professional (75%), high earners
(78%), and housewives (74%) were
also
less overwhelmingly in favour than the average.
Danh
19 November 1986
DJ Barton
prefer
Daz