CONFIDENTIAL

DSR 11C

DECREASING ARRIVALS

4. Of the options identified in the paper for stemming

the flow of further arrivals in Hong Kong, towing out to

sea is clearly unacceptable.

For the reasons

explained

in paragraph 19(a) of the paper, repatriation on a

voluntary basis is unlikely to have much impact on

numbers; there are virtually no volunteers.

>>

5. I have considered carefully the arguments set out in

paras 17 and 18 of the paper on the question of opening a

dialogue with the Vietnamese on forcible repatriation of

boat people to Vietnam. I have however concluded that

Parliamentary and public opinion in this country would

not accept that we should discuss forcible repatriation

with the Vietnamese regime given our condemnation both of

Vietnamese human rights policies at home, and their

policy towards Cambodia. There is in any case virtually

no prospect that the Vietnamese would cooperate either in

receiving the people concerned or in giving assurances

about their treatment. Even if they did, they would not

be believed. A policy of forcible repatriation would be

likely to be compared in this country with the

repatriation post-Yalta of Soviet prisoners at the end of

the Second World War. In short we should rouse a storm

of protest with no corresponding gain. A decision not to

talk to the Vietnamese about possible repatriation will

be highly unpopular in Hong Kong. We risk being accused

of forcing the territory to shoulder burdens which we are

unwilling either to share or allow them to alleviate

themselves. If we

follow this policy it is therefore

CONFIDENTIAL

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