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THIS IS A COPY

THE ORIGINAL HAS BEEN CLOSED FOR

40 YEARS UNDER FOI EXEMPTION No.

27........

SIR P CRADOCK'S VISIT TO WASHINGTON DC: HONG KONG

Future of Hong Kong

1.

Kong.

Coming 12 years will be a trying time for Hong

HMG will have to perform delicate political

balancing act. Need the cooperation of the Chinese, but

must also be seen in Hong Kong as prepared to stand up for

Hong Kong's interests.

2.

period.

Will need full support of our allies during this

Particularly the Americans. In quibbles about

commercial and other aspects must not forget larger

political

Aware of importance we believe

picture.

Americans attach to continuing prosperity and stability of

Hong Kong.

Hong Kong Economy and Trade

3.

in

Has proved buoyant and confident in aftermath of

Agreement. Stock Market index recently at a four year high. However, Hong Kong's economic viability remains dependent on trade, and US is Hong Kong's largest market.

Protectionist moves

US

are already affecting

confidence in Hong Kong, which, unlike other trading partners against whom US measures may be aimed, does not

impose any restrictions on US goods. A local slump brought on by cutbacks in Hong Kong's largest market

would represent a real threat to Hong Kong's prosperity

and stability, and thus

and thus to implementation of Agreement.

Joint Liaison Group

4.

First meeting of the Joint Liaison Group London, 22-25 July. Next meeting Peking, 26-29 November. British

delegation led by Dr Wilson. Includes 2 members of Hong

Kong Government

1

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