!

the adviser element around after 1997 that's the policy

region

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-

-

more

most expatriates won't want to be certainly in the higher echelons they seem to infer they will employ outside expertise, if they require it, but if they don't give a financial incentive to an expatriate they will be lucky if they get anyone especially if privileges such as housing, home leave, local education allowance are scrapped there will be a number of locals leaving prior to 1997 and their jobs may be filled by expatriates supply and demand consistent with a self governing commonsense dicates that there will be, Mr Deng is unhappy about the level of employment and salaries in the Civil Service opportunities will be created for those from Peking and further localisation within HK the implication of Part IV of Annex 1 is that employment of expatriates would be an exception difficult to recruit the working environment may soon be difficult for an expatriate to survive some expatriates will be employed after 1997 newly independent states rapidly get rid of expatriates for the first few years fewer at top level but dependent on need not externally dictated policy as now pensionable administrative officers will probably not be recruited otherwise numbers will depend on need any family man will either a) retire as early as possible b) not continue contracts, so as to provide for continuity of professional experience elsewhere or c) not accept employment unless his position for continuity of employment/promotion is clearer - with the creation of a working party on overseas appointments it would appear CSB is working hard to reduce the number of expatriates recruited, this is natural fringe benefits such as housing will not be continued, therefore employment will not be possible - implicit - expatriates will only be employed in exceptional cases cannot be with increasing localisation.

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7. ARE THERE GOOD PROSPECTS FOR EXPATRIATE CIVIL SERVANTS SERVING ON AGREEMENT TERMS?

a) before 1997

b) after 1997

The responses to these questions are interesting in that they call for judgements on one's own employment group and the other group. Agreement officers feel that their prospects are not good on balance before 1997 and much worse after 1997. Permanent and pensionable officers feel that agreement officers prospects are good before 1997 but not after 1997.

a) before 1997

b) after 1997

GROUP

YES%

NO%

DNK%

TOTAL

P42-

19.6

66.7

13.7

51

P43+

21.3

52.1

26.6

94

Average

20.7

57.2

22.1

145

A42-

12.3

72.8

14.9

154

A43+

14.5

80.7

4.8

83

A?

10.9

73.9

15.2

46

Average

12.7

75.3

12.0

283

Overall

Average

15.4

69.2

15.4

428

Remarks included the following:-

-

-

-

Being overseas Chinese I hope it would be yes salaries and benefits will decrease relatively to other overseas posts I assume that the draft agreement will be used by CSB as another way of localising regardless of performance and ability positive discrimination means reduced prospects will diminish until 1990 only contracts will be renewed less readily for some not very good anyway it was dead men's shoes anyway expatriates should accept the fact of no prospects limited some sections very poor flow of returning HK graduates will mean less expatriates required expecially on agreement depends on whether present government steps up localisation in the long term no matter what the agreement says we will not be needed there will be rapid localisation before 1997 and we will be gone afterwards agreement officers will be the first to go for development linked jobs prospects are not good there have never been good prospects for agreement officers, either I am stupid or this is a stupid question depends on CSB policy which is not yet formulated to early to say an option should be given to convert to permanent and pensionable terms after 2 contracts - I expect they may be better after 1997 if qualified locals leave, advisers may be invited back depends on department and individual - localisation rules OK - lack of prospects are a cause for concern renewal of contracts will depend on many factors but not on officer's work - some expatriates will be essential to a stable Civil Service and more so if PRC's modernisation is successful HK will go through a nationalistic, maybe anti-British phase maybe an "Indian Summer" but "winter" is coming – if UK is to carry out its obligations up to 1997 it should have a good presence of expatriates derisory question the only expatriates after 1997 will be from the mainland prospects in UK could be worse unless a system of linked contracts is introduced there is little security a good nucleus of expatriates will be needed whilst locals

already discontent inevitable decline expatriates in senior positions will be vulnerable cannot be with increasing localisation.

GROUP

YES%

NO%

DNK% TOTAL

P42-

42.3

38.5

19.2

52

P43+

47.5

35.0

17.5

97

waver

Average

45.7

36.2

18.1

149

P42-

35.3

50.3

14.4

153

P43+

44,0

50.7

5.3

75

A?

31.1

57.8

11.1

45

Average

37.0

51.6

11.4

273

Overall

40.1

46.2

13.7

422

Average

-

-

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-

8. ARE THERE GOOD PROSPECTS FOR EXPATRIATE CIVIL SERVANTS SERVING PERMANENT AND PENSIONABLE TERMS?

a) before 1997

b) after 1997

ON

10

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