CONFIDENTIAL

6. In industry the situation is more complex. The practice of

the "iron rice bowl" (ie a guaranteed job for life, regardless

of performance) still persists. Bonuses introduced in the past

six years to reward hard work have too often become regular

supplements to the pay of all workers in an enterprise. Products

are generally backward and imbalances in production and wastage

enormous. Other serious problems include lack of skilled knowledge

which seriously hinders attempts to modernise plant, and energy

shortages which probably mean that on any one day 20% of Chinese

industry is lying idle. Urban unemployment is claimed to be

only 2-3%, but is probably nearer 10%.

7. The leadership is now in the process of instituting far-ranging reforms in the following areas:

a)

Enterprise Reform. In the past all industrial enterprises have been rigidly controlled in all their operations by government departments rather than by their own managements. Within broad plans set by the departments, managers are now being given

responsibility for their own production, for the supply and marketing

of products surplus to their plan, and for profits and losses.

They may within general guidelines budget their own funds and, once

themselves appointed from above, may independently hire and fire labour (although the latter remains mostly in the realm of theory).

They can set prices on products they produce which are surplus to

their plan within a band of 20% above and below state prices;

b) Fiscal Reform. Previously all enterprises handed over their

entire product to the state. Now a tax system has been introduced. This consists of a basic "income" tax (corporation tax) of 55%

and various other national and local taxes. In practice many enterprises retain some 15% of their profits for their own use;

c)

Reform of the Planning System. In October measures were

announced by which the number of industrial products for which

output targets are set by the state was cut from 120 to 60 and the

number of agricultural products from 29 to 10. But these products, which will remain subject to "mandatory" planning, still account for the bulk of the economy.

"Guidance" planning with flexibile prices

for products subject to it will apply to non-main line items. The

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