CONFIDENTIAL

SECRETARY OF STATE'S MEETING WITH HIGH COMMISSIONERS, WEDNESDAY 21 NOVEMBER 1984

OIL PRICES (DEFENSIVE)

Points to make

Oil Market

1. It is in the interests of consumers and producers alike

that the world oil market should be stable. The onset of

winter should help strengthen the market, provided that traders

are confident of OPEC's ability to hole to its pricing and

production agreements.

UKCS Prices

2. The British National Oil Corporation's (BNOC) price cut

on 17 October followed action by other producers (Saudi Arabia,

Norway). It was a technical adjustment reflecting the decline

in the value of light crudes in comparison to heavy crudes.

3. While BNOC can resist short-term speculative movements on

the spot market, it cannot stand against underlying market

trends, whether upwards or downwards.

Energy, Science and Space Departmer!

14 November 1984

CONFIDENTIAL

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