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CONFIDENTIAL
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11.
As VRS come to realise the US door is shut, we
can expect serious trouble in the closed camps.
(c)
12.
Involuntary repatriation
Most effective solution in present circumstances.
Consistent with fact that recent arrivals don't fit
definition of "refugees", and with changing attitude
of resettlement countries.
"
13.
But will be difficult for UNHCR to accept.
14.
HMG have opposed it in the past.
15.
Vietnam will be difficult.
But Vietnamese
Foreign Minister has offered to discuss the HK refugee
problem.
16.
Considerable practical problems that would just
have to be overcome.
17.
If talks failed on involuntary repatriation,
might at least produce something for voluntary
repatriation.
18. If all else fails, turn them away, as do, eg
China, Singapore and Macau.
CONCLUSION
19.
Prospects intolerable for Hong Kong. Could