The visible trade gap and the terms of trade

2.11

The year-on-year growth rate of the value of total exports (domestic exports plus re-exports), at 6% in the first

quarter, was faster than that of imports at 28. In

(3) consequence,

the visible trade gap

at 13% was

significantly narrower than in the first quarter of 1982

16%.

at

2.12

During the first quarter, the rate of increase in total export prices was slightly slower than that for import

(4) prices. As a result, the terms

terms of trade index dropped to 99, compared with 100 in the fourth quarter of 1982 (5).

/Invisible

(3) The visible trade gap is defined as the proportion of the value of

imports not covered by receipts from total exports.

(4)

(5)

Due to the growing importance of re-exports, the terms of trade index has been re-defined as the ratio between the unit value index of total exports (domestic exports plus re-exports) and that of imports. In previous reports, the terms of trade index was defined as the ratio between the unit value index of domestic exports and that of imports.

Unit value indexes (1981 = 100)

Total exports

Imports

Terms of trade index#

1982 Q1

107

107

100+

Q2

107

105

103+

Q3

108

104

104+

Q4

107

107

100+

Dec

106

107

99+

1983 Jan

109

109

100

Feb

111

111

99

Mar*

112

113

99

Notes:

(#)

(+)

The terms of trade index may not equal to the unit value index of total exports divided by that of imports due to rounding.

The terms of trade indexes prior to January 1983 have been revised according to the new definition set out in footnote (4) above.

(*) Estimated by using trade indexes available up to February 1983.

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