SECRET

3 -

that the Secretary of State should send him a short telegram. A draft for this purpose is also attached.

FED

agree.

Zir

R D Clift

Hong Kong Department

WH 307a 233 3184

1.

This is a

masterly survey,

in which fir P Cracock's description

ni

view

may

of this Chinese approach to this negotiations is

particularly impressive.

2.

hava

As for the prospects, there wne

Senbashed

tactical options.

It seems

3.

i

to me

clearly variations, and wo furtier examniction of strategic and

mar it

is possible to create conditions continue to operate

which thug Kong cam

m

Nu

and

Luits Seve

mat Mir

Нина Кола

Cow

An

much

as hikierto, for so yours after 1947; crucial question is whether the prople of

by brought to believe this.

Celikan

16/i

OR 110

SECRET

FM PEKING 1208237 DEC 30

1/2 / way

Pise Lette Comms that--th

движел ве ико

SECRET

13/12

and send

to likD

TOP COPY: 12

B

TO PRIORITY FCO

TELEGRAM NUMBER 1331 OF 12TH DEC 03

INFO HONG KONG

FUTURE OF HONG KONG.

1.

иккоор

R: OLIVED IN NEQI25.

DA

JJ DEC 183

CMY

I AM SENDING BY THE BAG LEAVING PEKING TODAY A DESPATCH ON THE NEGOTIATIONS, REVIEWING THE IP COURSE TO DATE AND OFFERING A FORECAST. THIS MAY BE OF USE TO MINISTERS IN CONDUCTING ANY

REVIEW OF STRATEGY.

2. THE GOVERNOR SAW THE DESPATCH IN DRAFT, BUT IT DOES NOT, OF COURSE, COMMIT HIM AND HE MAY WISH TO ADD HIS OWN COMMENTS

IN WHATEVER FORM.

CRADOCK

LIMITED

FED

HKD

PS/AR LUCE PS/PUS MR LIFFARD MR DONALD MR URE

COD advised on change of 'TOP COPY.

THIS TELEGRAM

WAS NOT ADVANCED

SECRET

- age 10

Daco 10

Redacted under FOI exemption 27(1)(a)(c)(d)

SECRET

5

THE HONG KONG NEGOTIATIONS

SUMMARY

Enter

on a

Sepante fale. 4/15/12

MKK040/23

RLOZIVED IN AEGISTRY

+ Sub 3

1.

The despatch reviews the negotiations to date and offers a forecast. (Para 1)

2.

Difficult negotiations with radically differing approaches by the two parties.

(Paras 2 and 3)

3.

The fight for continuing British administration. The Chine se make their plans known.

(Paras 4-6)

t

5.

The

The Chinese attitude explained. Political and emotional factors paramount. Ignorance, suspicion and impatience. Taiwan factor. (Paras 11 and 12)

6. Chinese leaks. Strength of Chinese position. Value of British cards. (Paras 13 and 14)

7 Present position. Possible assurances. Value of self rule. (Paras 15-17)

8. Prospects. Likelihood of agreement that may not be acceptable to Hong Kong opinion or attractive to British opinion. Steady degradation of the choice. (Paras 18 and 19)

9.

Problems arising from planned Chinese announcement in September 1984. (Para 20)

SECRET

/10. Three

I age Tu

Dave 10

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