CONFIDENTIAL

DSR 11C

But

politically, the shadow over the Bonn coaliton remains

the weakness of the junior coalition partner, Herr

Genscher's Liberal FDP. The FDP failed at the 5% hurdle

in the regional elections in Bremen on 25 September.

their unexpected success in regional representation in

the much more important election in Hesse has partially

dispelled doubts about Genscher's future as FDP Chairman

and more important as Kohl's Vice-Chancellor and Foreign

Minister. The Bavarian leader, Strauss, whose ambition

shows no sign of waning as he gets older, is keeping up

his efforts to secure Genscher's posts. If he succeeds

it will be because of the FDP's weakness, rather than

through his own popularity.

5. The Prime Minister will wish to consider fairly soon

who should accompany her to Bonn. Much will depend on

what sort of agenda is eventually agreed. But apart from

the Prime Minister and the Foreign and Commonwealth

Secretary, it would be usual to include the Chancellor of

the Exchequer and the Secretary of State for Defence. In

view of the importance of Community topics (and the fact

that the Athens Special Council will begin later on 9

November) we have alerted the Minister of Agriculture.

It might also be appropriate to include the Secretary of

State for Trade and Industry. Although his opposite

number, Count Lambsdorff, is expected to visit London on

1 November for brief talks with Mr Parkinson, Mr Lawson

and Mr Walker, it could be useful for Mr Parkinson to

engage him more fully in the EC negotiations.

the Ministers concerned know that they may be needed.

All

CONFIDENTIAL

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