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PARTLY BECAUSE OF THE RELATIVE STRENGTH OF THE US DOLLAR.

3. SO FAR WE HAVE NOT ATTEMPTED TO REPLY PUBLICLY TO THE

CHINESE CAMPAIGN OF PROPAGANDA. WE ARE STRESSING THAT IT IS THE

TALKS THAT COURT, AND NOT WHAT IS SAID OUTSIDE THEM. THIS MAKES

IT ALL THE MORE IMPORTANT THAT IN SPITE OF THE DIFFERENCES OF

VIEW ON MAIN ISSUES OF PRINCIPLE WE GET DOWN TO PURPOSEFUL TALKS

ABOUT MAINTAINING STABILITY AND PROSPERITY WITHOUT FURTHER

DELAY.

4.

IF THE QUESTION OF HONG KONG COMES UP IN DISCUSSIONS WITH

CHINESE LEADERS SHULTS MIGHT CARE TO DRAW ON ANY OR ALL OF THE

FOLLOWING THEMES:

(A) WAS ENCOURAGED TO HEAR SOME FOUR MONTHS AGO THAT AGREEMENT

HAD BEEN REACHED TO HOLD CONFIDENTIAL TALKS BETWEEN CHINA

AND BRITAIN ON HONG KONG AND THAT A COMMON AIM TO MAINTAIN

THE TERRITORY'S STABILITY AND PROSPERITY HAD BEEN EXPRESSED:

(B) MANY RUMOURS GOING AROUND ABOUT HONG KONG'S FUTURE. THESE

MUST BE WORRYING FOR HONG KONG PEIPLE AND FOR ALL THOSE

ABROAD WHO INVEST THERE. AS YOU KNOW, THE US AND OTHER

COUNTRIES HAVE CONSIDERABLE ECONOMIC INTERESTS IN THE

TERRITORY:

(C)

(D)

(E)

CONFIDENCE IN HONG KONG IS BASED ON TRUST IN CONTINUITY OF

POLICY, FREEDOM FO ENTERPRISE, AND ABSENCE OF OUTSIDE

INTERFERENCE. THE IMPORTANCE OF THE EXISTING SYSTEM, WHICH

IS TRIED, TESTED AND RECOGNISED INTERNATIONALLY, IS THAT IT

GUARANTEES THAT HONG KONG WILL NOT BE SUBJECTED TO SUDDEN

CHANGES AND RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED FROM OUTSIDE:

UK GETS NO DIRECT REVENUE FROM HONG KONG. THE AUTHORITIES

IN HONG KONG ARE FREE TO DO AS THEY WANT WITH TAX REVENUE

AND BUDGET SURPLUSES:

ANY BENEFITS WHICH ACCRUE TO CHINA'S MODERNIZATION POLICY

FROM HONG KONG WOULD BE LOST OR AT LEAST GREATLY REDUCED

IF THERE WAS A CHANGE AWAY FROM THE PRESENT FREE MARKET

ECONOMY BASED ON A FULLY CONVERTIBLE CURRENCY. SUCH A

CURRENCY, WHICH IS PERMITTED TO FLOAT IN RESPONSE TO

SUPPLY AND DEMAND, DEPENDS ULTIMATELY ON CONFIDENCE

WITHIN THE TERRITORY. PYM

FUTURE OF HONG KONG

TIMIRED

HD/HI=&S)

HD/FED

HD/PLANNING STAFF

HD/PUSD

PS

PS/LORD BELSTEAD

PS/PUS

MR GIFFARD

MR DONALD

FC04011584

COPIES TO

SIR I SINCLAIR LEGAL ADVISER

MR ROBERTS

MR COLES

MR MARTIN

PS/MR HURD

NEWS D

NO 10 DOWNING STREET

ASSESSMENTS STAFF

CABINET OFFICE

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