MONTSERRAT

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1.

May well decide to seek independence towards the end of

the decade.

2.

3.

Constitutionally far advanced (too far perhaps).

Economy viable but needs strengthening. Depends on

tourism, agriculture and light industry. Aid funds needed for

next few years.

4.

Generally stable and pro-Western government, now in office until 1988. Unlikely that independence will become an

issue before next general election.

5.

Budgetary aid ceased in 1980 but economy still very fragile. Major development proposal is a 200 bed hotel but private sector investment difficult to attract at present.

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