Task 4.

Sensitivity analysis of results

Once a base case financial analysis is completed, key

assumptions will be varied to determine the impact of

their change on the project. Variations will be made on

the basis of a chosen set of possibilities developed in

conjunction with Government. They may include but will

not necessarily be limited to:-

reduced/increased revenue projections based upon

alternative world-wide travel demand, airline

response to increased fuel costs in terms of fleet

composition, scheduling frequency, etc.

different capital cost estimates and/or changes in

the timing of those costs over the construction

period.

different mixes of debt and public sector equity,

and different terms (e.g. interest rates, financing

period) under which debt is incurred.

different internal rates of return.

5

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