CONFIDENTIAL
TABLE 7-6
RISK OF INCURSION INTO CHINESE AIRSPACE (PRC)
1.
MISSED APPROACHES TO NORTHEAST
Assumptions
-
Straight ahead only no guidance of any type
153,000 annual
movement rate
70% of operations to NE giving 107,100 movements
One missed approach per thousand movements
Relate to ILS Category I approaches
RUNWAY
DISTANCE
PRC TO
CENTRELINE
RISK PER MISSED APPROACH
TOTAL RISK
RELATED TO ANNUAL
MOVEMENT RATE
F1 & D
800M
3 x 10-2
1 in 35,000
F2
2300M
2 x 10-4
1 in 5.3 million
2.
MISSED APPROACHES TO SOUTHWEST
Assumptions as in l. but movement rate
=
30% of Annual Rate 45900 movements
1220M
1 x 10-3
1 in 1 million
F1
F2 & D
N/A
Note:
N/A
Nil
Approach tracks (where applicable) do not create any significant risk for these runways.
7-12
CONFIDENTIAL