SECRET

DSR 11C

SECRETARY OF STATE'S MEETING WITH THE PRIME MINISTER

ON 2 APRIL: FUTURE OF HONG KONG

POINTS TO MAKE

1. Chinese seem at last to be focussing on problem.

They need economic benefits of Hong Kong for foreseeable

future. But political difficulties for them.

Significant

2. Hong Kong also important to UK. Hong Kong adds

substance to our relations with Chinese.

trade and capital investment from UK. Population wants

Hong Kong to remain British. Absorption by China could

lead to huge problems. 100,000s would look to UK for

resettlement. Also much investment from allies eg US,

Australia, Japan. Political significance of Western

foothold in Far East. Now only 15 years to 1997. Ever-

present risk of collapse of confidence in territory

increases as time passes.

major achievement.

Solution of problem would be

3. Need public assurance from Chinese that Hong Kong

will remain under British Administration for foreseeable

future. Continued British administration likely to be

most difficult for Chinese to agree to accept, rather than

just tolerate a problem left over from history. They will

expect at least our acknowledgement of Chinese sovereignty.

SECRET

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