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Western concern about Poland to the Soviet Union and in warning

that, were they to interfere directly, much stronger measures

would follow.

4.

Mr Atkins then informed the Vice Foreign Minister that

General Jaruzelski had two days previously explained his recent steps to Western Ambassadors. He had repeated his view that the

only alternative to military intervention would have been civil

war and that the military government was only temporary.

Later,

on 4 January, EC Foreign Ministers had issued a communiqué on

Poland following a meeting in Brussels. The Lord Privy Seal

handed a copy to the Vice Foreign Minister (Brussels Telegram

002 of 5 January) and asked for his comments on Poland.

5.

1

Mr Zhang Canming agreed that reliable information was

extremely limited but that the military government had been

largely successful in imposing order. However the fundamental

questions, and in particular the economic problem had not been

solved. There were different views on the extent of Soviet

intervention. Mr Zhang said that it was inconceivable that the

Soviet Union had had no information in advance that martial law

would be declared, but that so far there was indeed no evidence

of direct, open interference. The Chinese Government was watching

developments closely. Its consistent view had been that the

affairs of Poland should be settled by the Polish people. China

firmly opposed outside intervention, and hoped that the Polish

problem would be solved peacefully in accordance with the

interests of the State of Poland and the Polish nation.

6.

Mr Atkins expressed concern about the possibility of

the Soviet Union taking a more active role. He foresaw two

alternative circumstances in which this might happen:

(i) if martial law proved unable to keep order (this did

not seem to be the case at present); or

(ii) if the Polish economy were to collapse.

It was currently in great difficulty; Poland had huge debts all

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